Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall with thunderstorm, lightning/gusty winds likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during next 24 hours

Scattered to widespread rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds over North East India during 08th -11th April

Thunderstorm, lightning & squall also likely over Assam & Meghalaya on 08th & 09th and over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 09th April and isolated heavy rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 09th & 10th April

Heat wave conditions likely in isolated pockets over East Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand during next 48 hours and over West Madhya Pradesh, east Vidarbha, South Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Bihar during next 24 hours

According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD):

Significant Weather Features

• The Western Disturbance now seen as a cyclonic circulation over Jammu & Kashmir and neighbourhood at 3.1 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level   roughly along longitude 72°E to the north of latitude 32°N and an induced cyclonic circulation lies over West Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels. Under the influence of these systems, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall with thunderstorm, lightning/gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarkhand during next 24 hours and decrease thereafter.
• Heat wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over East Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand during next 48 hours and over West Madhya Pradesh, east Vidarbha, South Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Bihar during next 24 hours.
• A trough in westerlies runs roughly along longitude 85°E to the north of latitude 22°N at 2.1 km above mean sea level and a cyclonic circulation lies over Jharkhand & adjoining North Chhattisgarh in lower tropospheric level. It is likely to move eastwards during next 24 hours. These systems supported by moisture incursion from Bay of Bengal in lower tropospheric levels likely to cause:

1. Scattered to widespread rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) over North East India during 08th -11th April. Thunderstorm, lightning & squall(speed reaching 50-60 kmph) also likely over Assam & Meghalaya on 08th & 09th and over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on 09th April and isolated heavy rainfall likely over Arunachal Pradesh on 09th & 10th April, 2021.
2. Isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) over East India & adjoining Central India during 08th -11th April. Isolated hailstorm also likely over Chhattisgarh on 10th April, 2021.

Main Weather Observations

 

• Rain/Thundershowers observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today): at most places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffrabad, Himachal Pradesh and Punjab and at a few places over Uttarakhand and at isolated places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Konkan & Goa, south Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Puduchery & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
• Rainfall recorded (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today) (2 cm or more): Qazi Gund & Banihal-5 each; Manali-4; Gulmarg, Pahalgaon and Batote-3 each and Kupwara, Srinagar, Kokarnag, Baderwah, Dharmsala, Kalpa and Bhunter-2 each.

• Thunderstorm observed (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today) in isolated pockets over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffrabad, Kerala north Interior Karnataka, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh,Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
• Yesterday, Heat Wave Conditions observed in some pockets over East Rajasthan and in isolated pockets over northwest Rajasthan, South Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha and north Madhya Pradesh.
• Maximum Temperature Departures as on 06-04-2021: Maximum temperatures were markedly above normal (5.1°C or more) at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh; appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at many places over East Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and East Madhya Pradesh; at a few places over West Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh; at isolated places over Saurashtra & Kutch, West Uttar Pradesh and Tamilnadu; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Vidarbha; at many places over Gujarat region, Konkan & Goa, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Coastal Karnataka; at a few places over Madhya Maharshtra, Marathwada and North Interior Karnataka; at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Kerala & Mahe.They were markedly below normal (-5.1°C or less) at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh; appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffrabad and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and below normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the highest maximum temperature of 44.0°C was reported at Banda (East Uttar Pradesh) over the country.
• Minimum Temperature Departures as on 07-04-2021: Minimum temperatures are markedly above normal (5.1°C or more) at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh; appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at most places over Uttrakhand; at a few places over West Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Maharashtra; at isolated places over West Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at most places over North Interior Karnataka; at many places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Coastal Karnataka; at a few places over Odisha; at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Gujarat state, Bihar, West Bengal & Sikkim. They are appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at isolated places over Telangana; below normal (-1.6°C to-3.0°C) at a few places over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan & Muzaffarabad and at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and near normal over rest parts of the country. Today, the lowest minimum temperature of 14.6°C reported at Amritsar (Punjab) over the plains of the country.

Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 hours IST)

• The Western Disturbance now seen as a cyclonic circulation over Jammu & Kashmir and neighbourhood at 3.1 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in mid & upper tropospheric levels with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 72°E to the north of latitude 32°N.
• The induced cyclonic circulation over Punjab & neighbourhood now lies over West Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level.

♦ A trough in westerlies runs roughly along longitude 85°E to the north of latitude 22°N at 2.1 km above mean sea level.

• The cyclonic circulation over Comorin Area & neighbourhood extending upto 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.

♦ The trough now runs from the above cyclonic circulation over Comorin area & neighbourhood to North Interior Karnataka and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level.

• A cyclonic circulation lies over South Andaman Sea and adjoining North Sumatra coast and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level.

♦ A cyclonic circulation lies over Jharkhand & adjoining North Chhattisgarh between 0.9 &1.5 km above mean sea level.

• A cyclonic circulation lies over Southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood at 0.9 km above mean sea level.
• A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from the night of 10th April.
• The trough in westerlies roughly along longitude 89°E to the north of latitude 25°N at 3.1 km above mean sea level has become less marked.
• The cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea & adjoining south Myanmar coast extending upto

0.9 km above mean sea level has become less marked.

• Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.
• Fall in maximum temperatures by by 2-3°C over most parts of Northwest India during next 3 days and rise thereafter.
• No significant change in maximum temperatures over most parts of Central India and Interior Maharashtra during next 48 hours and fall by 2-4°C thereafter.
• No significant change in maximum temperatures over rest parts of the country during next 4-5 days.

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * upto 0830 hours IST of 12th April, 2021

Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days from 12th April, 2021 to 14th April, 2021

♦Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning likely over parts of Northeast India, Kerala & Mahe, Karnataka and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

♦ Isolated to scattered rainfall/snowfall likely over Western Himalayan region.

♦ Isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning likely over parts of Maharshtra, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Odisha.

♦ Dry weather likely over rest parts of the country.

Weather Warning during next 5 days *

07 April (Day 1): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Uttarakhand; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal, Assam & Meghalaya and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit- Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Lakshadweep.

 

• Heat Wave Conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Madhya Pradesh, east Vidarbha, south Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Bihar and Jharkhand.
• Squally weather (wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph) very likely over south Andaman Sea.

08 April (Day 2): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning, hail & squall (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal;with lightning & squall (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Jharkhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning over Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Arunachal Pradesh.

• Heat Wave Conditions very likely in isolated pockets over East Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand.

09 April (Day 3): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning, hail & squall (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal; with lightning & squall (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; with lightning, hail & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim; with lightning, hail & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Odisha; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Arunachal Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, south Madhya Maharashtra, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.

• Heavy Rainfall very likely at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh.

10 April (Day 4): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning, hail & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) likely at isolated places over Chhattisgarh; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Konkan & Goa, south Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

• Heavy Rainfall likely at places over Arunachal Pradesh.

11 April (Day 5): ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) likely at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Arunachal Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Konkan & Goa, south Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

• Heat Wave Conditions likely in isolated pockets over Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan.

 

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