How South Carolina’s Population Will Change in the Next 20 Years
Each year, millions of Americans pack up and move to a new state – either for a job, family reasons, a change of climate, or any number of other reasons. Migration and natural population change resulting from births and deaths can cause significant demographic shifts, which have consequences for local economies and governments.
Negative or slow population growth can lead to weaker economic growth and fewer economic opportunities – which in turn can push more people out of a given state. Population decline can also mean reduced revenue for state governments and limited funding for public works and services and reduced ability to meet budgetary obligations. Here is a look at the states collecting the most in income tax.
According to a study conducted by the Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia, South Carolina’s population is projected to expand by 22.5% between 2020 and 2040 – an increase of 1,167,938 people. If the Cooper Center’s projections bear out, South Carolina will go from being the 23rd most populous state to being the 22nd most populous, also taking into account population changes in other states.
The projected change is in keeping with the trend of the last decade. Between 2010 and 2020, the number of people living in South Carolina climbed by 12.1%, or 559,200 people.
A full methodological explanation for how these projections were calculated can be found here.
RankNameProjected 2020 to 2040 pop. change (%)2020 population2020 rank2040 projected population2040 rank1Texas35.229,604,099240,015,91322North Dakota34.3789,403471,060,457453Utah34.13,240,569304,344,339294Florida32.021,877,257328,886,98335Colorado31.75,843,359207,692,907176Nevada30.13,119,265324,058,371307Washington27.37,681,818139,776,126128Arizona26.17,268,694149,166,279149Idaho25.41,777,249392,227,8423610South Carolina22.55,184,564236,352,5022211Oregon21.04,267,534275,164,0412412North Carolina19.810,568,033912,658,927713Georgia19.510,725,351812,820,271514Delaware17.9987,393451,164,3444415South Dakota17.0891,688461,043,0324716Montana15.01,074,635431,236,3044317California14.940,438,640146,467,001118Virginia14.18,655,021129,876,7281119Tennessee14.06,861,856167,823,6621520Minnesota12.05,683,666226,364,8862021Nebraska12.01,956,876372,190,9183722Hawaii11.41,453,902401,619,7034023Maryland11.16,161,345196,842,9021924Oklahoma10.94,001,180284,439,0382825Massachusetts10.96,982,092157,742,6281626Alaska9.1751,32848819,9544827Louisiana6.74,742,900255,062,7802528Iowa6.53,184,240313,392,7833229Arkansas5.93,038,491333,217,5353330Indiana5.36,737,581177,095,0001831Wyoming5.2585,38050615,7874932Kentucky4.84,498,533264,714,7612733New York4.220,031,150420,873,488434New Jersey4.29,088,074119,470,0121335Kansas3.32,936,212353,032,6533436Missouri3.26,161,471186,359,9702137New Hampshire3.01,352,917411,393,4514138Alabama3.04,911,278245,056,7962639Wisconsin2.75,837,176215,997,1372340New Mexico1.32,099,134362,127,3183841Ohio0.411,705,262711,751,540942Pennsylvania-0.312,844,885512,809,150643Michigan-0.39,992,315109,960,1151044Rhode Island-0.71,062,334441,055,3184645Maine-0.91,338,780421,326,1594246Mississippi-0.92,990,498342,962,1603547Connecticut-1.43,593,542293,542,7073148Illinois-3.112,791,188612,397,564849Vermont-3.4622,86849601,8655050West Virginia-7.81,801,966381,661,84939
Disclaimer: This content is distributed by The Center Square
